Ykicis

The markets where Ykicis sees an edge.

It prices every market and finds many mispriced. Signals are the rare ones with an edge and a near-term reason the market may reach its price.

NVDA $5T market cap
Priced fairly
Category 4 US landfall by October
Priced fairly
GPT-6 released in 2026
Mispriced · watching
Oil perpetuals · Hyperliquid
Priced fairly
Ukraine ceasefire by December
Mispriced · watching
Fed cut at the September meeting
Priced fairly
NVDA stock token above $210
Priced fairly
S&P 500 above 7,000
Mispriced · watching
NYC 100°F day by August
Priced fairly
WTI crude above $80
Priced fairly
Taiwan Strait blockade
Mispriced · watching
ChatGPT top free app
Priced fairly
Signal publishedAI
GPT-6 released by September 15, 2026?
Market price
NO ·29¢
Fair price
NO ·41¢
Edge +12¢7-day exit
Live · last 24 hours · 56 markets evaluated · 8 Signals published

This is a Signal.

A forecast tells you what Ykicis expects. A Signal adds three things: an edge, a near-term reason the market may reach its price, and a defined exit. The exit is the fair price, or day 7.

PolymarketNOSignal published · Aug 2

GPT-6 released by September 15, 2026?

Fair price · NO41¢
Market price · NO29¢
Edge+12¢
Hold 7 days
+154% paper return

Simulated paper returns do not represent actual trading and do not account for fees, liquidity, slippage, or actual fills; your results may differ.

Based on the market price on Aug 9, seven days after publication.

Positions can be held past the window to resolution. The track record does not measure those outcomes.

Prices shown for the NO contract
Market price Fair price Edge Updates
100¢90¢65¢40¢15¢Aug 2Aug 4Aug 8Aug 11Aug 151234
1Signal published · NO at 29¢
2Edge persisted
3Market reached fair price
4Market later resolved NO · Sep 15
What Ykicis saw

–The contract counted only a model released under the exact name GPT-6 by September 15.

–It separated broad release expectations from that exact naming test.

–That reading put the fair price for NO at 41¢ while the market offered NO at 29¢.

–The fixed six-week window gave the market a near-term path to the fair price.

Every signal. Every outcome.

The Track Record measures every Signal from its published reference price to its price on day seven, using the resolution price when the market settles sooner. Every Signal is hash-committed on Robinhood Chain at publication, so the record cannot be rewritten.

Average paper return per Signal
+12.4%
Across published Signals with measurable paper results. Open paper positions are marked to the current market price.
Win rate
62%
Share of closed paper positions that finished above the reference entry.
Published Signals
253
40 open · 213 closed paper positions, live from the on-chain committed record.
Selected closed paper resultsUpdated Aug 16
iPaper performance · Hold 7 days. Simulated results with inherent limitations; they do not represent actual trading and exclude fees, liquidity, and slippage. Review the full record

What goes into a forecast.

Ykicis combines broad evidence with scored expert judgment to form an independent view of each market.

6,000+

global sources

1,000+

ranked experts across geopolitics, tech, macroeconomics, and AI

Research draws on
⁂ REUTERSRANDBloombergIPSOSAFP●The New York TimesCENTCOMPOLITICOThe GuardianFINANCIAL TIMES

How Ykicis keeps improving.

The Research Lab studies forecast outcomes to improve how the desk weighs evidence, evaluates experts, and identifies Signals.

Evidence6,000+ global sources
JudgmentScored expert forecasts
→
ForecastThe desk refines its view
FindingsInform the next forecast
→
OutcomeResult is scored
Research labTests what improved
What the Research Lab tests
Call accuracy

Calibration, expert records, and the evidence that improves the desk's calls.

Signal outcomes

Entry timing, catalysts, exit windows, and the rules that improve Signal results.

Forecasting beyond markets

The same discipline applied to geopolitical, policy, and business questions beyond traded markets.

Recent report from the Research Lab
The Rate-Path Expert Index report artifact: a printed scatter chart of scored expert predictions

Whose Fed calls held up?

The Rate-Path Expert Index scored forecasts against outcomes to identify who added signal before the outcome was known and what the desk should weight in future forecasts.

380 predictions94 experts
Read the report ↗

What members receive.

Membership opens the full forecasting layer with every qualifying Signal, the broader forecasts across markets, and the complete record behind each call.

Every qualifying Signal

Receive every Signal when one publishes. A market must show both an edge and a near-term reason it may reach the fair price.

All desk forecasts

See the broader forecast coverage across event markets and Robinhood Chain stock tokens, including forecasts that never become Signals.

Complete Signal context

See the direction, reference entry, fair price, market price, edge, thesis, target, and market link.

The complete track record

Review every open and closed paper position, and verify any Signal against its on-chain commitment on Robinhood Chain.

Access for $YKICIS holders.

Ykicis
Launch access

Hold 5,000,000 $YKICIS

Holders of 5,000,000+ $YKICIS on Robinhood Chain get exclusive access to the app.

Step 1 of 2Verify holdings

Connect a self-custodied wallet to verify you hold 5,000,000 $YKICIS on Robinhood Chain.

Buy $YKICIS on the Robinhood Chain DEX ↗
NextCreate your account.
Contract address·· Robinhood Chain · chain id 4663
Free newsletter

The weekly desk read

New research, what the desk is learning, and the opportunities it is exploring next.

Read on the blog ↗

Know what you are buying.

When and where are new Signals published?+

Any new Signals for the day are published by 11:00 a.m. ET and hash-committed to Robinhood Chain in the same window. Log in to your account to view them in the member dashboard. If no market clears the Signal standard, no new Signal is published that day.

Is this a trading platform?+

No. Ykicis publishes prediction-market research. It does not operate a trading venue, accept customer trading funds, place trades, or custody assets. Members decide whether and how to act on the research and transact directly with third-party venues, subject to each venue's rules.

What does the track record include?+

The aggregate track record covers published Signals with measurable paper results under Hold 7 days. The win rate uses closed paper positions only. Open paper positions are marked to the current market price. Members can inspect the complete row-level record on the track record page.

How are paper results calculated?+

Each Signal receives an equal $100 paper stake at its published reference entry. The paper position closes after 7 days or when the market resolves, if earlier. Return is the percentage change in the cost of the signaled side from entry to close. See the methodology.

Why might my result differ from the paper result?+

Paper results do not represent actual customer trades. They exclude fees, bid-ask spread, slippage, taxes, and other execution constraints. Liquidity, position limits, venue access, fill availability, timing, and the price available when a person acts can also affect an actual outcome.

How do I verify a Signal against its on-chain commitment?+

Every Signal's contents are hashed and committed on Robinhood Chain at publication, then revealed at exit. Recompute the hash from the revealed plaintext and compare it with the original commitment; the block timestamp proves when the call was made. No deleted calls, no edited entries. A step-by-step guide lives in the docs.

How does access work?+

During launch, access requires holding 5,000,000 $YKICIS in a self-custodied wallet on Robinhood Chain. Connect a wallet to verify holdings, then sign to verify ownership. Access continues while a linked wallet holds the required balance. The tokens never leave your wallet.

One token, every signal.

Get access